Week 10 Waivers
It’s getting ugly out there for many. Bye weeks continue to rage on. Injuries have ravished many. The game that is fantasy football has become not so fantastic for some. We are not quitters though. We will fight till we can’t fight anymore. Let’s get back to work.
We ride at dawn.
Justin Fields – 47% rostered – If you still haven’t picked him if he s available then shame on you. His lowest rush attempt per game is 7, in Week 4. He’s rushed for over 50 yards in the past 5 weeks. Including his colossal 178 yards this past Sunday. Which oh yeah, is an NFL record. And his next two opponents? Detroit and Atlanta. As my man Chip Diamond would say, pshh. Detroit is giving up 413 total yards per game, and Atlanta is giving up 406 yards per game.
Daniel Jones – 40% rostered – Much like Fields, Jones has also used the legs. And even ran for a hundo himself a couple weeks ago. The rushing always gives you a more stable floor.
Jared Goff – 34% rostered – He gets The Bears who have traded away their defense. Who the Dolphins just carved apart. Bears defense has given up an average of 412 total yards the last couple weeks. Hopefully Swift is healthier and more involved as well.
Jimmy Garoppolo – 18% rostered – The Chargers are average at best at times vs opposing QBs. Jimmy one-six has too many weapons at his disposal to not give us his usual 16.
Marcus Mariota – 35% rostered – He torched Carolina last time out and put up 32 fantasy points. Carolina has given up 400 total yards of offense two weeks in a row. While this time it’s likely he doesn’t give you 32, he should be able to support QB2 numbers.
Jeff Wilson Jr – 44.6% rostered – He knows the playbook and was given a good workload in his first game in a Dolphins uniform. Whether it’s a changing of the guard or not, it’s likely the Dolphins can provide relevance for 2 backs in this system, next up a Cleveland defense who can be stingy but also susceptible to the run.
Rachaad White– 20.3% rostered – It’s pretty slim pickings for running backs these days. We have had him on here for weeks with nothing ever coming of it. 38% snap share won’t cut it. Buuuuuut, the Tampa offense needs a spark. It’s a dysfunctional mess at times. Fournette has not looked great the last couple weeks either. Regardless of Lenny’s health, at some point, the Bucs have to get White more involved.
Isiah Pacheco– 27% rostered – This one is another one we have said for weeks but it’s gained little traction. He is “starting” now. But still it’s only basically a split of the half of the snaps McKinnon doesn’t see. Tennessee was a tough matchup. Just watching him, you see why Andy likes him. Big, fast, and runs very hard. With some lighter matchups upcoming on the horizon, we likely see them get back to running a little more. He will get his chance soon.
Chubba Hubbard – 30% rostered – is down to 30% rostered. He still likely gets a decent workload upon return, baring they are getting blown out.
Kyren Williams – 14-% rostered – Same reason as last week. The rams RBs are a mess. He has a wide open door on day 1.
Notables– Isiah Spiller saw 7 carries in a close game.
Mecole Hardman – 36% rostered – 4 weeks now in a row of over 12 fantasy points. As Toney gets more involved maybe he sees a decrease but for now, he’s definitely warranting flex play usage.
Terrace Marshall – 8% rostered – Fun fact, he played with Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase at LSU. He also has not had the same success as the other two. He has now however seen 15 targets in the last two weeks.
Wan’Dale Robinson – 20% rostered – Coming off a bye the Giants will likely try to get Robinson rolling. The matchup is not great as the Texans have been stingy to opposing WR. Trust Daboll with 2 weeks to prepare.
A deeper throw for me is Jarvis Landry (Michael Thomas is out for year).
Greg Dulcich – 28% Rostered- double-digit weeks 3 weeks in a row is a miracle for TEs this season. Maybe he just is the new Patty French Fries.
Cade Otton – 5% Rostered- He caught the game-winner from Tom and added in 68 yards on 6 targets. If Tom’s trust grows he can be another good streaming option most weeks.
Week 9 Waivers
Justin Fields – 26.2% Rostered – With over 60 yards rushing in the last 3 weeks we can see they are letting him loose. Now he gets Miami who comes in ranked 26th vs opposing QBs. Additionally, you get a bonus. You get two weeks worth of streaming as next week he gets Detroit, who comes in ranked 30th vs opposing QBs. By then his new shiny weapon will be full speed in Chase Claypool as well. The arrow is pointing up. In a large way.
Jared Goff – 42.5% rostered – He bounced back vs Miami a week ago. With Amon-Ra and Swift back his days should be much better moving forward as well. GB has not been great to opposing QBs but I think here he will be a fine QB2.
Marcus Mariota – 24% rostered – He has played well at times this year and only has 1 single-digit game on the season. Would love to see him get London going again like they did Pitts a week ago. A matchup vs a good Chargers offense coming off a bye could just set that up.
Andy Dalton – Is the Red Rifle back? Two 17+ point weeks in a row puts him back on the radar. Add in Baltimore is ranked 25th vs opposing QBs and you can do much worse as a deeper QB2 streamer.
Khalil Herbert – 47% rostered – He’s seen over 12 carries two weeks in a row. Now Justin Fields and the offense is cooking. Now add in a plus a matchup vs Miami, who is ranked 23rd vs opposing RBs. The arrow might just be pointing up for Herbert again as well.
Chubba Hubbard – 34% rostered – D’Onta is looking great, but a week ago they both where. It’s likely if Hubbard returns they go back to more of a split. That matchup is iffy but 12-15 carries is all we can ask for this week.
Isiah Pacheco – Andy Reid pulled a fast one on us a week ago, he made him the starter then oof. They were (CEH) where a dead split. It’s possible after the bye Andy wants to unleash Isiah a little more. No guarantee but this is a stash worth adding now.
Kyren Williams – Sean McVay is looking for anything that can get him some production from that position. They were super high on him then he got hurt in Week 1. When off the IR the door is wide open to get some meaningful work in that offense.
Rachaad White – Sick of telling you why.
Joshua Palmer – 24% rostered – Mike Williams is out and Keenan Allen exited at half last week. He’s a must-add this week and a must start vs Atlanta who ranks 32nd vs opposing WR.
Romeo Doubs – 47% rostered – if Lazard misses any more time he is a must start vs the Lions D ranked 27th Vs opposing WRs.
Rondale Moore – 46% rostered – He should have never fallen under 50%. He bounced back and saw 8 targets and should see that moving forward again.
Evan Engram and Tyler Conklin are the only 2 under 50% rostered I would even play in normal leagues. So that’s that.
Cade Otton in a deeper league.
Isiah Likely is a must stash for any Mark Andrews owner. if you have a spot regardless he’s a good stash as well, in the case Andrews injuries linger.
Streetz’s Week 8 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet
Baltimore Ravens @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers O/U 46
- Must Starts – Leonard Fournette, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Mark Andrews, Lamar Jackson, Tom Brady
- Flex Plays – Gus Edwards, Rashod Bateman
- Streamers – Cade Otton, Rachaad White
Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars O/U 39.6
- Must Starts – Travis Etienne
- Flex Plays – Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, Christian Kirk
- Streamers – Zay Jones, Melvin Gordon, Evan Engram(PPR), Greg Dulcich
Chicago Bears @ Dallas Cowboys O/U 42.5
- Must Starts – Ceedee Lamb, Tony Pollard, Dalton Schultz, Dak Prescott
- Flex Plays- David Montgomery
- Streamers – Michael Gallup, Khalil Herbert
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles O/U 43
- Must Starts – AJ Brown, Jalen Hurts, Dallas Goedert, Devonta Smith, Miles Sanders
- Flex Plays – Najee Harris
- Streamers – Pat Frierermuth, Dionte Johnson, George Pickens
Miami Dolphins @ Detroit Lions O/U 51.5
- Must Starts – Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, D’Andre Swift, Amon-Ra St. Brown, TJ Hockenson, Raheem Mostert
- Flex Plays –
- Streamers – Josh Reynolds, Mike Gesicki, Tua Tagovaiola
Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings O/U 49
- Must Starts – Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson, DeAndre Hopkins, Zach Ertz, Kirk Cousins, Kyler Murray, James Connor (Eno Benjamin if Connor is out)
- Flex Plays – Adam Thielen, Rondale Moore
- Streamers – Irv Smith Jr, Eno Benjamin (even if James Connor plays)
New England Patriots @ New York Jets O/U 40.5
- Must Starts – Rhamondre Stevenson
- Flex Plays – Jakobi Meyers, Michael Carter Jr
- Streamers – James Robinson, Damien Harris
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints O/U 49.5
- Must Starts – Josh Jacobs, Alvin Kamara, Darren Waller(if he plays), Devante Adams, Chris Olave, Derek Carr
- Flex Plays-
- Streamers – Taysom Hill, Hunter Renfrow, Andy Dalton
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons O/U 41
- Must Starts – D’Onta Foreman, D.J. Moore
- Flex Plays –
- Streamers – Kyle Pitts, Drake London
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans O/U 40.5
- Must Starts – Derrick Henry, Damien Pierce
- Flex Plays – Brandin Cooks
New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks O/U 44.5
- Must Starts – Saquon Barkley, Kenneth Walker, Tyler Lockett
- Flex Plays – Wan’Dale Robinson
- Streamers – Daniel Jones, Geno Smith
Washington Commanders @ Indianapolis Colts O/U 39.5
- Must Starts – Jonathon Taylor, Michael Pittman Jr, Terry McLaurin
- Flex Plays – Curtis Samuel, Brian Robinson
- Streamers – Antonio Gibson, Logan Thomas (if he plays), Alec Pierce, Nyheim Hines
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angles Rams O/U 43
- Must Starts – Cooper Kupp, Deebo Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Tyler Higbee
- Flex Plays – Brandon Aiyuk, Allen Robinson, Darrel Henderson
- Streamers – Jimmy Garoppolo, Matthew Stafford
Green Bay Packers @ Buffalo Bills O/U 47.5
- Must Starts – Stefon Diggs, Aaron Jones, Josh Allen
- Flex Plays – Gabriel Davis, Devin Singletary
- Streamers – AJ Dillion, Romeo Doubs, Dawson Knox
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns O/U 46
- Must Starts – Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Nick Chubb, Joe Mixon, Amari Cooper
- Flex Plays – Kareem Hunt
- Streamers – Tyler Boyd, Hunter Hurst, Donavan Peoples-Jones, Harrison Bryant
Week 8 Waivers
We lost Breece Hall for the season on Sunday. We may have lost D.K. Metcalf for a little while as well. It was a blood bath out there. Look, Hall can’t be replaced in our hearts. His production doesn’t grow on trees. In this game of war called fantasy football though, we will claw and fight for points. As I say each week…
We ride at Dawn.
Jimmy Garoppolo – 27.3% rostered – Jimmy one six as I like to call him. Why? Because he’s put up 16 points exactly in 4 of his 6 weeks. 17 one of those weeks, that rascal. Like I say over and over, he has a capped ceiling. In 2022, the way QB scoring is going, Jimmy’s floor is just a nice safety net. Next, he gets his arch-nemesis in the Los Angles Rams. Who he plays well against. Stream it up.
Daniel Jones – 28.9% rostered – We talked about it last week. When it comes to QB scoring, legs = money. He’s run for over 60 yards in 3 of his last 5 games. Including a whopping 100 this past Sunday. Next up is Seattle, who is giving up just about 400 yards of offense per game.
Andy Dalton/Jameis Winston – Who ever starts week 8 will get the Raiders. Who were dead last, ranking 32nd vs opposing QB’s in 2022 heading into week 7. Then David Mills even mustered 18 points on them.
D’Onta Foreman/Chubba Hubbard – Both under 36% rostered – This looks like a split as long as Hubbard’s ankle is ok. If not it’s a good spot this week Vs Atlanta for Foreman. Longterm, their value is a little up and down. Whether both are healthy or not, their scoring will be a roller coaster in this mediocre offense. But workload is workload and they have permanent roles.
Gus Edwards – 16.1% rostered – As we told you last week. If Dobbins is out pick up Gus the Bus. He didn’t disappoint. 16/66 and 2 TDs. They like him in Baltimore. In mostly a secondary role, he has averaged over 5 yards per carry for them over the last 3 seasons. He is likely to continue his usual workload till Dobbins returns. Could buy you some time if you just lost Breece Hall.
Keontay Ingram– Check for Connor and Williams’ status. If neither go he’s a dart throw flex.
Latavius Murray– I am obligated to put him here but that backfield is a mess.
Tyler Allgeier– In this one, he got 16 of the team’s 23 carries. If he can take over the lead role then he could be viable.
Isiah Pacheco – He started for KC but then it was a dead even split with CEH. Andy Reid might just be building him up slowly. But they can use more Pacheco. Saw a note that only 32% of CEH runs have gone for longer than expected. It feels like Pacheco is an explosion waiting to happen. Just when will that be is the mystery.
Stashes are Rachaad White, Kyren Williams, and James Cook.
Wan’Dale Robinson – 13.8% rostered – He saw 8 targets in the first half. Had a monster 47% target share in the first half. Took a hit below the waist and went MIA. Still ended with a 27% target share in this game. We need to monitor this throughout the week but he is on the rise. Wan’Dale SZN is close. Not here yet, but it’s close.
Mecole Hardman – 21.1% rostered – This is his 3rd double-digit performance in a row. And he celebrated it with 3 TDs. 2 of them rushing, however. My only concern is his targets in these 3 weeks are 5,4,4. The counterpoint is, in the Chiefs offense you only need 1 play.
Zay Jones – If you are just hoping for 10 points, most weeks I feel he can get you there.
*I had Alec Pierce and Parris Campbell in this. With the news of Sam Ehlinger replacing Matt Ryan, both are removed for now. Need to readjust their outlooks*
Greg Dulcich -7.8% rostered – He saw 9 targets with a different QB a week after making a big play. He had a 60% snap share. He also shut me up real quick. Let’s not get too excited yet though. Ok, so relax. When Russ is back and the WRs are cooking, just not sure how their TEs round out. Definitely worth grabbing as maybe he is this years Freiermuth.
Hayden Hurst – 47.6% rostered – 8 targets again for Hurst. Geaux Joe is on fire as well. Love to have a piece of this offense if I’m looking for a streamer.
Evan Engram – Good streamer in PPR only.
Juwan Johnson – Saints are banged up all over. Once Thomas and Landry return it remains to be seen the role Johnson will have. Keep an eye on that.
Cade Otton – An 81% snap share and a handful of Tom Brady targets will keep you well within the streamer discussion.
Streetz’s Week 7 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet
New Orleans @ Arizona Cardinals- O/U 43.5
- Must Starts – Alvin Kamara, DeAndre Hopkins, Zach Ertz, Kyler Murray
- Tier 2 – Eno Benjamin, Chris Olave
- Flex Plays – Rondale Moore
- Streamers – Taysom Hill
Green Bay Packers @ Washington Commanders – O/U 41.5
- Must Starts – Aaron Jones
- Tier 2 – Allen Lazard
- Flex Plays – Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel
- Streamers – Aaron Rodgers, AJ Dillion, Robert Tonyan, Romeo Doubs
New York Giants @ Jacksonville Jaguars – O/U 42
- Must Starts – Saquon Barkley
- Tier 2 – Christian Kirk
- Flex Plays – Travis Etienne
- Streamers – Trevor Lawrence, James Robinson, Evan Engram, Daniel Bellinger, Wan’Dale Robinson, Zay Jones
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers – O/U 40.5
- Must Starts – Christian McCaffrey, Leonard Fournette, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Tom Brady
- Tier 2 – n/a
- Flex Plays – D.J. Moore
- Streamers – Cade Otton
Atlanta Falcons @ Cincinnati Bengals- O/U 47
- Must Starts – Ja’Marr Chase, Joe Mixon, Tee Higgins, Joe Burrow, Kyle Pitts
- Tier 2 – Drake London
- Flex Plays – n/a
- Streamers – Tyler Boyd, Hayden Hurst
Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys – O/U 49
- Must Starts – D’Andre Swift (if he plays), CeeDee Lamb, Amon-Ra St. Brown, TJ Hockenson, Dak Prescott
- Tier 2 – Ezekiel Elliott, Jamaal Williams (if Swift doesn’t play)
- Flex Plays – Tony Pollard
- Streamers – Michael Gallup, Dalton Schultz (if he plays), Josh Reynolds (if Chark doesn’t play)
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens – O/U 45.5
- Must Starts – Nick Chubb, Mark Andrews, Amari Cooper, Lamar Jackson, David Njoku
- Tier 2 – J.K Dobbins (if he plays)
- Flex Plays – Kareem Hunt, Rashod Bateman
- Streamers – Kenyan Drake (if Dobbins doesn’t play), Devin Duvernay, Donovan Peoples-Jones
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans – O/U 42.5
- Must Starts – Jonathan Taylor(if he plays), Derrick Henry, Michael Pittman
- Tier 2 – n/a
- Flex Plays – Nyheim Hines (if Taylor doesn’t play), Robert Woods, Alec Pierce
- Streamers – Matt Ryan, Deon Jackson (if Taylor and Hines don’t play)
Houston Texans @ Las Vegas Raiders – O/U 46
- Must Starts – Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs, Damien Pierce, Darren Waller (if he plays), Derek Carr
- Tier 2 – Brandin Cooks
- Flex Plays – n/a
- Streamers – Hunter Renfroe, Nico Collins, Rex Burkhead
New York Jets @ Denver Broncos – O/U 38.5
- Must Starts – Breece Hall, Courtland Sutton
- Tier 2 – n/a
- Flex Plays – Jerry Jeudy
- Streamers – Garrett Wilson, Greg Dulcich
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers – O/U 48.5
- Must Starts – Travis Kelce, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, Patrick Mahomes
- Tier 2 –
- Flex Plays – Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Jeff Wilson, Juju Smith-Schuster, Brandon Aiyuk
- Streamers – Jimmy Garoppolo
Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Chargers – O/U 50.5
- Must Starts – Austin Ekeler, Kenneth Walker, Keenan Allen (if he plays), Justin Herbert
- Tier 2 – DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Mike Williams
- Flex Plays – Josh Palmer (if Allen doesn’t play)
- Streamers – Gerald Everett, Geno Smith
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins – O/U 45
- Must Starts – Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle
- Tier 2 – Najee Harris
- Flex Plays – Dionte Johnson, Raheem Mostert
- Streamers – Tua Tagovailoa, George Pickens (if Pickett plays), Pat Freirermuth
Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots – O/U 40
- Must Starts – Rhamondre Stevenson
- Tier 2 – n/a
- Flex Plays – Jakobi Meyers, David Montgomery, Damien Harris
- Streamers – Darnell Mooney, Justin Fields, Hunter Henry
Week 7 Waivers
Almost 2 months into the season. If you are still alive, congratulations. We ride at dawn. In the meantime check out the Week 7 Waiver adds.
Jimmy Garoppolo – 16.7% Rostered – KC entered Week 6 ranked 27th vs opposing QBs. Then Josh Allen put up over 360 total yards and 2 TDs. SF will certainly be looking to bounce back after that debacle vs the Falcons. As we said many times the ceiling is capped. However, in a game against the Chiefs, where he might have to throw it over 35 times, his floor should be stable. He has scored 16 fantasy points or more in 4 of his 5 weeks this year.
Justin Fields – 26.9% Rostered – If you have watched the games, then you know it hasn’t been pretty. However, Fields has averaged over 40 rushing yards per game for the last 4 weeks. Even with minimal passing output, his floor is fairly safe. The matchup is not great but Fields should be able to run a little bit.
Daniel Jones – 27.3% Rostered – Jones is also using his legs this season and his floor has stabilized by doing so. What’s even better for Jones is his upcoming schedule of Jacksonville and Seattle.
Matt Ryan – 12.5% Rostered – Tennessee had a bye in Week 6, but are giving up over 280 passing yards per game thus far. Matt Ryan now has 2 legit WR with the emergence of Alec Pierce. Maybe he puts the bad behind him. It also helps he gets Washington in Week 8.
Quick note. Pay attention to drops daily. This is where weird drops happen. I saw Stafford dropped in a few leagues this past week. If you see something like this and you’re struggling with QBs this year, it could solve a big problem for you by year-end.
Mike Boone – 34% Rostered – It is Monday afternoon before his Monday night game vs the Chargers. He will still enter Week 7 only 34.2% rostered. He played 41% of the snaps a week ago. He was also on the field every 3rd down. He’s the clear passing down back who sees an additional 8-10 carries a game. Gordon has plenty of mileage on him and is already banged up. Boone should be rostered in more leagues.
Rachaad White – 25% Rostered- The usage has not been great (22% snap share) but he has seen over 4 targets now in 3 straight weeks. His role is growing a little slower than I expected, but he is a legitimate league winner if anything happens to Lenny. Should be rostered in well over 25% of leagues.
Gus Edwards – Dobbins’ knee “locked up” on Sunday. We then saw Drake go on to have a big day. Gus could return this week and take over as the 1 or 2 in this backfield, pending the status of Dobbins. If both are out, Drake could be a flier in Week 7 again.
Kyren Williams – We all saw the Cam Akers news and how the end is near for him in LA. This puts Williams in a good spot. We know Henderson can’t last as the bell cow and it’s likely someone will play the 2 role that sees plenty of work. If Williams is able to return from the IR this week as he’s eligible, it could very well be the 5th-round pick out of Norte Dames’ time to shine.
Quick note. For a dart throw, add D’Onta Foreman in the chance CMC is dealt.
Robbie Anderson – 29% Rostered- What a wild news day it’s been. Anderson was seen disgruntled with coaching and was kicked off the field yesterday. Today he is dealt to Arizona. Then we hear Hollywood Browns’ injury is possibly season-ending. This makes Anderson a must-add this week. He likely takes over the Brown role moving forward. With Hopkins back, that role was set to decrease so don’t expect a monsoon of targets each week. But nobody throws more passes a game than Kyler right now (43 per game). So volume is there for him to hit Anderson on a big one weekly.
Alec Pierce – 25.3% Rostered – Chances are that soon your ability to acquire Pierce will be less and less. 6+ targets 3 weeks in a row and now has a big TD to go along with it. His snap rate climbed to a season-high 65%. Not great but growing. He’s clearly the 2nd best pass catcher on the Colts and already a WR3.
Wan’Dale Robinson – The rookie snagged 3 of 4 targets and scored a TD in 16 snaps on Sunday. It’s a depleted WR group looking for help. If he takes the Sheppard role he could be an excellent flex play some weeks.
Daniel Bellinger – 2.5% Rostered – Back-to-back double-digit point weeks has to account for something right?
Evan Engram – 30.3% Rostered – 5 to 6 catches the last two weeks and a 27% target share last week makes him a viable PPR dart throw. The clunkers will happen but he is used.
Mike Gesicki – 40% rostered – His 24.9 PPR points in Week 6 will likely be the outlier but we have to note he was on the field for 70% of the snaps and his route% was almost 90%. In that offense that should equate to some decent fantasy days.
Week 6 Waivers
Another week in the books means more break-out players and unfortunately, more injuries. Let’s take a look at this week’s waiver wire targets.
Geno Smith – He has looked good. No doubt. Although, let’s pump the breaks just a tad here. If we look at his last 3 opponents, we will see Atlanta, Detroit, and NOLA. Two of them are giving up over 390 yards per game and one is middle of the pack. That is some nice sledding. Good news is, Zona doesn’t pose much of an issue either. They come in ranking 24th vs opposing QBs. Additionally, this is not the only reason why Geno is a streamer. While albeit playing well in the right matchups, his defense is the absolute worst in the NFL. This means he likely has to throw way more than the 25 times he did a week ago.
Carson Wentz – He is back on the streaming radar two weeks in a row. Bears’ defense has played no one outside of Rodgers and Cousins. Both of those QBs threw for over 270 yards a TD.
Jimmy Garoppolo – He has a capped ceiling but in the right matchups also the safest floor. In 3 of his 4 weeks, he has posted over 16 FPG. Week 6 he gets an Atlanta defense giving up almost 400 yards per game. I see plenty of scoring for the SF offense here.
Notables/Deeper Leagues – Zach Wilson – Wilson is 2-0. Breece Hall is becoming a monster and he has 3 very talented WR. Packers are not daunting.
Kenneth Walker III – Penny is sadly done for the year. This opens the door to the top 3 pick in dynasty rookie drafts. Walker is a legitimate RB2 now most weeks and flex at worst. This is the waiver wire pickup of the year so far. So use that FAAB or that top waiver you have been holding on to.
Mike Boone – Double-digit touches and 85 yards in his debut. Flex appeal is surely there, especially with Russ now banged up. A matchup vs the team giving up most points to opposing RBs in LAC makes Boone a sneaky flex play.
Notables/Deeper Leagues – Eno Benjamin – This is easy. Look for injury reports on Connor and Williams. If Eno is the last man standing he is a must must must start vs Seattle. Who ranks 31st vs opposing running backs.
George Pickens– Back to back 8 target weeks. Sure, the game had enough garbage time to make Oscar the Grouch happy. I get it. But, the rapport is growing and Pickens is now on the radar.
Rondale Moore – Early sleeper darling. Was much more involved last week. Appears to have taken the Greg Dortch role back over. With one more week before Hopkins is set to return Moore is a good flex play. Especially against one of the worst defenses in the NFL in Seattle.
Alec Pierce – Saw a career-high 9 targets in a bit of a messy game. He is only seeing 50% of the snaps but he’s being targeted when on them. He also is making the most of the targets as we said last week. If the role grows as we go, Pierce can be a clear flex option most weeks.
Notables/Deeper Leagues – Darius Slayton (maybe). Monitor the Giants’ receivers as he might be the only one standing. Nico Collins is back in the mix after back-to-back double-digit scoring weeks. Only a stash though.
Hayden Hurst and Taysom Hill. That’s it.
Week 5 Waivers
This is a tough week. We lost some big names. Please respect my privacy in this difficult moment. With that said we need to pull those boot straps up and continue on. Here are Week 5 waivers.
Jared Goff – 44.1% rostered – The Goff Gang is walking around pounding their chest right now. No Swift. No ARSB. Pshh. Don’t even matter. Seattle was an easy matchup compared to next week, however. The sledding gets a little tougher heading into Foxborough, but it is not some daunting defense. Every QB has at least put up 16 fantasy points against them thus far which keeps the QB4 on the year well within the streaming radar.
Jameis Winston – 24% rostered – Baring his return from injury he is set up for a nice game at home vs Seattle. Seattle is giving up over 400 total yards per game and is 2nd to last in points per game allowed at 28.8. Also, just go see Jared Goff in Week 4.
Teddy Bridgewater – 0.2% rostered – Not sure how long Tua is out, but any QB with Hill and Waddle is worth streaming. Add in a matchup against the Jets and boom. Teddy is worth a look as a QB2.
Notables – Zach Wilson (Miami has given up some big days to opposing QBs and weapons are there for Wilson. He has to limit the turnovers but it’s clear they don’t mind him throwing it 35 times a game.) Geno Smith (QB10 on the year so far, his defense is so bad they likely will have to throw vs Saints.) Kenny Pickett (Loaded with weapons but 3 turnovers and facing the Bills. Worth adding for the bench now as he will be streamable some weeks).
Rachaad White – 11.3% rostered – Leonard Fournette himself told the Bucs his usage was too high for his age. So, White, this go-round got a full series and not just a snap here and there. He had a rushing TD and 5 targets/5 catches for 50 yards. He is a very talented receiving back and we know Brady can utilize them quite well. You will see a few names on this list that I would rather have before any Javonte Williams replacement. White being the one I target first.
Isiah Pacheco – 10.5% rostered – 7 of his 11 carries went for 6+ yards. His snap share last night of 22% is not great but we saw McKinnon was getting over 50%. If Pacheco becomes the #2 it is hard to not get him the ball. We went over how useful CEH had been with such limited touches. Same can go for Pacheco if he were to take on the McKinnon snap share.
Tyler Allgeier – 16.8% rostered – Patterson is on the IR now. This opens a huge door for the BYU product. He had 10 carries for 84 yards and a catch for 20 yards. Would prefer him over Caleb Huntley, as Allgeier will get the first crack.
Mike Boone – 0.1% rostered – For most RBs, opportunity and workload is what makes them fantasy relevant. If Boone is going to see double-digit carries in the wake of Javonte Williams’ ACL injury then he will be fantasy relevant. Just not sure what they do or how they respond outside of Melvin Gordon now being a legitimate RB2. Worth the add but no promise with this one.
Notables – Phillip Lindsay (Nyheim Hines is 60% rostered so he did not qualify but if Taylor misses a week then Lindsay likely is activated and gets an opportunity Thursday night along with Hines. Brian Robinson (Robinson makes his season debut after the gunshot injury. Gibson doesn’t seem well liked but he’s not bad and this just might be a mess, but again, work is work. Latavius Murray (Watch Kamara’s status over the week, and if he sits Murray could be a decent flyer. Looked better than Ingram.
Romeo Doubs – 46.1% rostered – This will be the last chance to acquire his talents. Back to back 8 target weeks, 70 of the 73 snaps in Week 4 and 4 red zone targets on the season now. It is clear he becoming a go-to option for Rodgers and that will translate to fantasy points.
Michael Gallup – 46.5% rostered – Not a horrible debut by any means. 3 targets and a TD. Dak’s return is looming and will play better into his downfield prowess. Being 2nd or 3rd option in Dallas will have its fair share of moments.
Notables – Corey Davis (They have lots of mouths to feed but he keeps seeing a decent workload. Josh Reynolds (Monitor the Lions WR corp as most are banged up. If they do not return in Week 5 he is a good steaming option again). Alec Pierce (Seeing a handful of targets a game and makes the most of them, if he garners any more could be a stable flex like we said last week).
Tyler Conklin – 38.8% rostered – We saw his targets drop to a season low of 5 in Week 4 with Wilson’s return. Something we said to monitor. But 5 targets a week is still stash worthy. TE sucks. It is a wasteland most weeks.
Notables – Hayden Hurst (4 targets is not great but again, a handful of Burrow targets can lead to TDs some weeks). Mo Allie-Cox (6 targets and 2 TDs. Game is likely the outlier but it’s worth monitoring.) Will Dissly (Seems to have the red zone trust of Geno Smith).
The title says it all. We are one month into the fantasy football season. Let’s take a look at some players that you should be trying to trade for.
Trade Targets After One Month
QB – Tom Brady
Off the field, he might have some issues going on. On the field, I see no slowing down. His slow start for me is more attributed to facing a very good Dallas D and his kryptonite in NO weeks 1 & 2. He had posted 3 straight weeks of a sub-7 AY/A to start the season. He also did so a year ago in a stretch in which one of the opponents was who else, NO. His last week of 8.56 is more the norm I expect to see that a dozen more times this season.
RB – Breece Hall
This window might be shut but in the chance, it is not for you, the time is now. His overall real numbers might not be overly sexy but they’re getting better. And the underlying metrics point to even better days ahead. Especially if his usage keeps trending up. His 31.3 air yards per game is better than the now record of 30.4 held by David Johnson. He logged a 66% snap share last week and is entering RB1 usage slowly.
WR – Terry McLaurin
I see a lot of panic and fear happening with Terry. Back-to-back weeks vs Philly and Dallas will have that effect. They both get after the QB and are leading the NFL in only 4.8 yards per pass attempt. However, over the next two months, he will see teams like Tennessee, Minnesota, Atlanta, Houston, NYG, and a slightly overrated Chicago defense (don’t give me stats, besides GB, Chicago has played in a monsoon, Vs David Mills, and Vs Daniel Jones). Dotson being banged up should help him see the 16.2% target share increase. If we mix the schedule with the target share and sprinkle in he has 15.6 ADOT, this could be the positive regression medicine Scary Terry needs. Plus, his price is cheaper than ever.
TE – Dalton Schultz
Dalton suffered a PCL injury in Week 2. Although that injury can last a few weeks he returned after a one-week hiatus. In that return, he played 91% of the snaps with a route percentage of 82%. It helps Dak is inching closer to return also, as in Week 1 with Dak he saw 9 targets. This is a legitimate TE1 with top-5 upside who might have his lowest price of the season.
Week 4 Waivers
As we enter Week 4, if you play in 10 or 12 team leagues especially, it is time to check for drops daily. Bad decisions are made all the time. So if someone bails on Tom Brady or D.J. Moore, you absolutely pounce on that chance. That being said, this is a spicy week. We can still find some help with skill guys. QB, well, wash rinse repeat. Let’s get into Week 4 Waivers.
Trevor Lawrence – 50% rostered – In his last two weeks, he has about 500 yards and 5 touchdowns. The Jaguars are looking like a much different team under Doug Pederson and Lawrence is finding his footing. He’s more of a sit week 4 vs a tough Eagles team but a must-add in all formats for ROS.
Jameis Winston – 28% rostered – We should monitor his health and practice this week as he’s looked banged up. But if a go, Minnesota is giving up 275 passing yards per game so far this season and in London could be a get-right game for him.
Jared Goff – 30.7% rostered – The Legion of Boom is long gone, and Seattle’s defense has shown holes (240 passing yards per game/23 PPG). Goff has taken care of the ball and has been respectable so far. He can be more game script prone but with Amon-Ra, Swift, and Hock he’s a decent swing this week again.
Jimmy Garoppolo – 17% rostered – Rams are not a great matchup but they can be bent. Jimmy and the 49ers have also been pretty good Vs them the last couple of seasons.
Notables – Geno Smith Vs Detroit and Matt Ryan Vs Tennessee. Both of those defenses are giving up over 400 yards per game and over 28 points per game.
Deeper League/Stashes – Zach Wilson is 5.7% rostered. He could be back as early as this week. If you hunt upside this is the best shot out there to stash.
Khalil Herbert – 25.2% rostered – 20 carries for 157 yards is hard to ignore. If Montgomery misses any time he is a legitimate RB2. Especially on the road against the Giants. Even with a healthy Montgomery, Herbert likely has made a case for more work and we have seen Bears are entirely run-heavy. He’s a must-add player.
Alexander Mattison – 37.1% rostered – We need to monitor Dalvin Cooks’ status for Week 4, but Cook has missed time with this injury before. And when Mattison starts he’s averaging almost 22 fantasy points per game. A must start Vs. a Saints defense giving up almost 130 rushing yards per game.
Jamaal Williams – 44.3 rostered – He may be the king vulture eating Swift’s manager’s souls, but he is also seeing enough work to warrant flex consideration.
Notables – Monitor Mixon on a short week. Samaje Perine is a good start if Mixon can’t go. James Cook saw a carry and 5 targets in his 10 snaps in Week 3. He’s got a ways to go but you see the talent and that they wanna get him involved. Stash now. Jerick McKinnon is still on the field 53% of the time.
Deeper League/Stashes – Tyler Allegeier, Jaylen Warren.
Romeo Doubs – 16.1% rostered – 8 targets and a TD in an offense where Aaron Rodgers is trying to find a go-to WR. Could be a breakout or could be a streamer. Must-add all around.
Zay Jones – 8.6% rostered – His second appearance here and it’s tied to T Law. If we see a legit Lawrence breakout, being that system’s #2 in targets could be very useful. As was his 10 catches on 11 targets in Week 3.
Notables – These guys remain useful if others remain out. Mack Hollins (Hunter Renfrow), Greg Dortch (Rondale Moore, DeAndre Hopkins), Joshua Palmer (Keenan Allen), and Isaiah McKenzie (Stefon Diggs).
Deeper League/Stashes – Tre’Quan Smith (all Saints WRs are banged up), Alec Pierce.
Tyler Conklin – 11.5% rostered – 8 targets again and this is with C.J. Uzomah back. Hard to ignore the usage with Flacco under center. Zach Wilson is more of a mystery.
Logan Thomas – 46.6% rostered – It was just a bad week overall for Commanders. Wentz will have better days and then so will Thomas. Still streamable in better matchups.
David Njoku– 32% rostered – 10 targets in Week 3 puts him back on the streaming radar. Hopefully, he can build on it.
Notables– Cameron Brate (Mike Evans will be back in Week 4 but Brady’s other options remain iffy).
Deeper League/Stashes– Jelani Woods (hard to trust rookie TEs but after this week maybe his role grows).
Week 3 Waivers
Poor draft? Injuries? Or just trying to improve your roster? We got you with this week’s waiver wire targets.
Jared Goff – 6.8% rostered- Two weeks and 2+ touchdowns in each contest, including 4 in Week 2. Amon-Ra St. Brown and D’Andre Swift are the real deal Holyfield’s. Their defense has given up 400 yards in the first two contests also, which likely continues against the Vikings. This is going to keep Goff in passing down situations in Week 3. Worthwhile streaming option as it gets thinner.
Jimmy Garoppolo – 1% rostered- Unfortunately, Trey Lance is gone for the year. This brings Jimmy G back to life. Might have a chip on his shoulder this time around also. Too many weapons on that offense, especially when Kittle returns, to ignore this handsome bastard as a streaming option in the right weeks. He’s back on the QB2 radar.
Notables – Jameis Winston (told you last week not to use week 2, but he’s back to startable if that’s a word, Week 3 vs Carolina).
Deeper Leagues– Marcus Mariota vs Seattle. Geno Smith vs Atlanta. God speed.
Jordan Mason – 2.1% rostered- With the injury to Tyrion Davis-Price, Mason will assume his new role as the #2 RB in San Fran. Which can be a fantasy relevant spot to be in as we have come to learn. Shanny will also roll with the hot hand. Jeff Wilson’s 3.8 yards per carry the last 2 seasons could potentially allow the undrafted rookie to show the team if he’s got anything. If not that, Jeff Wilson also has never played more than 12 games himself. For deeper leagues or desperate dart throws, Marlon Mack is expected to be lifted off the practice squad.
Darrell Williams/Eno Benjamin – 4%/3.6% rostered- It is not clear how much time James Conner misses if any at all, but these two each had 8 carries and 3-4 targets after Conner exited. Could be a platoon between the two but for RB struggling teams, might be the best shot you got for double-digit touches. You will just need Biff’s almanac to guess which one scores in week 3.
J.D McKissic – 42% rostered- Week 1s’ dud got him below the 50% rostered threshold. McKissic saw 7 targets and was on the field for 46% of the snaps in Week 2. And when he has those games, he’s a worthy flex starter or RB2 dart throw in PPR. He’s just tied to Washington being in a lot of passing-down situations. So pick your spots wisely.
Notables – Raheem Mostert doesn’t qualify here at 51% rostered but if he is available in your league he’s worth a speculative add also. He could become the early-down running back in Miami.
Deeper Leagues – Jerrick McKinnon (on the field enough in a high-powered offense and he out-snapped CEH in Week 2, just need to see more usage).
Sterling Shepard – 10.2% rostered- After a good Week 1, it was nice to see him targeted 10 times. Results were not there but the targets are a good sign. Kenny Golladay is on the back of a milk carton and this team is looking for a top WR option. Shepard might be that guy.
Josh Palmer – 40% rostered- Saw 8 targets in Week 2 and as long as Keenan Allen is out, he is their #2 WR. Of course, this is if Herbert is a go.
Notables – Greg Dortch (as long as Rondale Moore is out). Noah Brown (as long as Michael Gallup is out).
Deeper Leagues – Breshad Perriman (that whole WR corp is banged up and Evans is suspended for a game).
Gerald Everett– 30% rostered- Ok, Now it seems personal that you will not listen to me. We are two weeks in and it is astonishing he is only 30% rostered. Especially looking at the landscape. Everett will make the most of his targets in this high powered offense. Which is why a 17% target share under Justin Herbert is going to keep him fringe TE1 for me moving forward. Not to mention he is looked for in the Red Zone. Should note, with Keenen Allen out he saw a 22% target share.
Logan Thomas – 19.5% rostered- He’s gone from 62% to 73% of the snaps in Week 1 to Week 2. Lots of mouths to feed there in Washington but Thomas could have some decent days as he ramps back up from the ACL injury.
Hayden Hurst – 23.3 % rostered- Tied for 6th in targets through 2 weeks (7/9). Also, a Burrow security blanket as he runs for his life again. The production is not quite there but the usage is encouraging.
Notables – Tyler Conklin (9 targets with Uzomah out after a 7 target Week 1. Good steamer if CJ can’t go again). Evan Engram (8 targets Week 2 and we know Doug Pederson likes to feature the TE).
Deeper Leagues– Juwan Johnson (targets are encouraging to monitor. Once was a WR who converted).
Week 2 Waivers
Poor draft? Injuries? Or just trying to improve your roster? We got you with this week’s waiver wire targets.
Jameis Winston – 36% rostered – To replace Dak this is my top long-term option. Week 2 he draws the Bucs defense, so if your bench has the room, might be worth picking up 2 QBs.
Carson Wentz – 16.6% rostered – Week 2 he draws the Detroit Lions, who just gave up 455 total yards to the Eagles.
Rex Burkhead – 17.2% rostered – Well Lovie didn’t say it out loud but Sunday he basically said it, “Rex is our running back.” Even as we expect Dameon Pierce to get more work as it goes, a back who saw as much work as Burkhead did must be rostered in all leagues. 19 touches is top 30 RB upside. PPR especially, as he saw 8 targets and appears the heavy favorite for passing down work.
Jeff Wilson – 3.8% rostered – It’s always worthwhile rostering a RB in a Shanny system who sees double-digit touches per week. I would also take a flier on TDP and Jordan Mason.
Curtis Samuel – 8.7% rostered – Week to week he likely won’t see all those targets. But he added 4 carries on top of it. He could see enough to be worthy of a flex some weeks as the Commanders’ Deebo light.
Zay Jones – 1.1% rostered – 2nd in targets on Jacksonville with 9. He could see enough of a target share to provide some PPR flex scoring. Especially if Lawrence takes the next step this season.
Gerald Everett – 13.6% rostered – If you listened to me in my sleeper article then you would already have him. He ran the 2nd most routes for the Chargers in week 1 and scored a TD. Looks prime to take over the Cook role and he’s just more talented as you saw on that TD. Now with Keenan Allen banged up he might see a healthy dose of targets Thursday. Buy now, before it’s too late.
Tyler Higbee – 49.8% rostered – Admittedly, I didn’t have him in my ranks this year. Whether Stafford just didn’t go to him a lot last year, or too many mouths to feed again, I just liked a few other TE2s for free that late. Fast forward to Week 1. He saw 11 targets and that is a healthy dose that can’t be ignored. Back on my streaming radar.
Unsolicited Advice – 2022 Sleepers
For me, sleepers are late-round guys. If you draft someone in the top 100 it is not a sleeper. He’s in the top 100 for a reason. So let’s dive into the 100s and find some treasure.
QB – Justin Fields ADP 136
QB is a tough one to really label for sleepers. It’s fairly 15-16 deep this year. Many can be had after pick 100. So looking deeper around pick 136 is Justin Fields. Rushing yards will provide a stable floor and Luke Getsy likely has the offense built around his strengths. 64 yards rushing a game for the final month gives us a glimpse. If the passing improves he may have no issue being a top 14 QB and viable streaming option.
RB – James Cook ADP 113
He’s built perfectly for a RB of his style. He’s in a high-powered offense that throws over 60% of the time. Oh, and where RBs saw 82 targets. Which he could see 50 of. He’s immediate flex appeal. If anything happens to Devin Singletary, Cook could be a league winner. Moss is also rumored to be on the trade block which would cement it.
WR – Jahan Dotson ADP 163
It took no time at all in camp to ingrain himself as the #2 WR in Washington. He’s got speed and insane hands. While Terry gets all the attention he could become a nice open weapon for Wentz, and an easy flex play in PPR, with a ceiling for more. He was scouted by many as the most pro-ready prospect and after getting a look we see why.
TE – Gerald Everett ADP 184
He’s basically free and I have him ranked in the top 125. Jared Cook saw 83 targets and was 9th in routes run a year ago in the Chargers offense. Cook looked old and at the end of his career. It showed only posting 200 YAC and an abysmal catch rate. If Everett saw this workload under Herbert he will blow past the yards. The Chargers also throw the ball a lot in close so Everett has a great chance to be in the top 10 for TE TD’s this season(Cook was 12th a year ago).
Unsolicited Advice – 2022 Busts
Unsolicited Advice – 2022 Busts
For me, a bust can only be someone we take within the first 4 rounds. Some years we see some in the 2nd. Let’s take a look at a couple of potential busts this season.
QB – Patrick Mahomes ADP 31
It’s more a gut feeling. He sadly was 5th in PPG a season ago, posted the worst ANY/A of his career, and lost his biggest weapon. But it’s still gut. He likely is fine as a real-life player and is one of the best QBs in the game. With an iffy supporting cast maybe it might just decrease his numbers a bit, and when you take a QB in the 3rd round he better finish as QB1.
RB – Ezekiel Elliot ADP 30
We don’t need to spend a bunch of time going over his declining metrics. Sadly, he’s even worse without Tyron Smith on the field. Not completely done with Zeke but I’m starting to re-think where I have him ranked in PPR.
WR – Dionte Johnson ADP 38
Mitch Trubiksy/ Kenny Pickett. Will they lock in on Dionte like Ben did? Also, rookie QBs don’t tend to produce top 15 WRs. Too iffy for me to take him before guys like Waddle, Cooks, and McLaurin in that same range (DJ Moore’s ADP will rise quickly this week and he won’t be there at that pick).
TE – Kyle Pitts ADP 32
He arguably had the greatest rookie TE season of all time. He also will score more TDs in 2022, even in a bad offense. Now the worry. We can hate on Matt Ryan all we want but he gets the ball to his receivers. A bad O line, Mariota, and in all likelihood, a rookie QB at some point can add up to knock Pitts down a tad. Still should see volume but getting some other options a round or two later is just a little safer. Albeit, most of these TEs can be part of the bust column.
Unsolicited Advice – Quarterback Strategy
This year QB is easily 12 to 14 deep. This also includes higher-end options. So it is always best to wait on QB. In fact, I don’t even have a single QB ranked in my top 50. That is how deep it is. It’s something I preach yearly, but no one ever seems to listen. So let’s break this down and probably overcomplicate it. That’s what I do best.
We will use last year as a prime example. If you took Josh Allen you used a top 40 pick. His ADP ranked 29th on ESPN. He scored 400 fantasy points. But this is really just 23.7 PPG for you doing so. This led to QB1. Which sounds fantastic but in reality it is only 4 points per week more than a guy drafted at 120.
That guy is Joe Burrow whose ADP was 120. Burrow played one less game than Allen but his PPG came out to 19.6.
Now you are going to say but Allen single handily won me weeks. Well yes, he had 8 weeks over 27 fantasy points including 4 over 40.
Little did you know, Joe Burrow had 7 weeks over 27 PPG and 3 over 38.
We can use a plethora of other QBs. Matt Stafford’s ADP was 90, and he had 8 weeks over 30 PPG. We can go back to 2020 and find similar scenarios, etc.
Now, I’m not hating on Allen. He’s fantastic. All I am saying is this statistically puts you at a disadvantage elsewhere in probability. It is more about having more dart throws at the better skill guys. Sure the late guys can hit. But only 4 WRs were drafted outside Burrow’s ADP (120) that finished in the top 24. Williams, Mooney, Pittman, and St. Brown. None of them finished as a WR1. When you are battling 11 other teams you may not even get 1 one of them.
In my years QB has never been the reason for my demise. Especially in an era where the ball is thrown so much. Some years you need to double down and maybe take 2 QBs in rounds 10/11. Play the matchups. But you can stay close on a PPG basis. Pairing Mike Evans (ADP 31 last year) and a Burrow/Stafford likely outscores Allen and whoever you took at 90 or 120.
Thanks for my Ted Talk.
Top 200 Player Rankings
Redraft – PPR – Top 200 Rankings
Meat. What better way to explain fantasy football values than some good ole BBQ’d meat? It’s simple. The ribeye is the king, 2nd is the prime angus pub burger, then the cheddar brat, and finally a single chicken wing. Corn and bread are little to no value. You don’t trade a ribeye let alone 4 of them for a bunch of cheddar brats. Get it? Good, that would make one of us.
|🥩 = Ribeye|
|🍔 = Burger|
|🌭 = Brat|
|🍗 = Chicken Wing|
|🌽 = Corn On The Cob|
|🍞 = Bread ( Little Trade Value )|
|89||Amon-Ra St. Brown||WR||🍗|
|151||Irv Smith Jr||TE||🍞|
|156||Odell Beckham Jr||WR||🍞|
|193||Marvin Jones Jr||WR||🍞|
Running Back Rankings
Wide Receiver Rankings
|39||Amon-Ra St. Brown|
|68||Odell Beckham Jr|
|84||Marvin Jones Jr|
Tight End Rankings
|14||Irv Smith Jr|
Preseason Top 24
Let’s take a look at my preseason Top 24.
1. Jonathan Taylor (RB1) – IND
23 years old. 350 Touches if healthy is a lock. Led league in RZ touches. #7 in true YPC 4.9, real was 5.5. #1 in evaded tackles, #1 in breakaway runs. 15 weeks of 15+ carries. I can just keep listing the ridiculousness or you just do the right thing and take him at 1. This isn’t rocket science. Go ahead though, drift off, take Tiki Barber over LaDainian Tomlinson like it’s 2006.
2. Austin Ekeler (RB2) – LAC
He’s 26 years old and might only play 15 games. However, his workload is moderate and used in a proper manner. He’s kind of like a Costco employee and gets off on holidays. 200 carries, 70 receptions, book it. He’s also red zone trusted and was #2 in RZT.
3. Najee Harris (RB3) – PIT
Steelers have a knack for deploying a bell-cow back. So he is a 300-carry bell-cow who also plays a role in the passing game (70 receptions). Did all this with an iffy line and the Steelers actually used a concrete statue of Big Ben at QB (they didn’t but they might have been better if they did). So the overall offense could improve with rookie Kenny Pickett or Mitch…..hahahaha I can’t. Never mind.
4. Cooper Kupp (WR1) – LAR
29 years old is likely a little older than I like for my WR1. But 191 targets, #1 in snap share, just a hog in the RZ, #1 in YAC yada yada yada. His connection with Stafford is a true love story. It’s one of those Kate Winslet movies where she shows her….woah, hold on, we almost went off-topic. Duplicating that season might be tough, but he should be a top 5 WR still.
5. Derrick Henry (RB4) – TEN
He’s big which can become an issue with injuries and healing from said injuries. He’s been used and abused like a toilet seat at a chili eating contest, buuuut, it’s just hard to find someone who gets this kind of workload. 300 carries if healthy with ease and his passing game production was on pace to double in 2021.
6. Joe Mixon (RB5) – CIN
Bengals are going to have a couple of guys early here. First off is Mixon. Maybe it is because he has more TD passes in the super bowl than Aaron Rodgers this past decade. Or maybe because last year he had 292 carries and added 42 receptions. New improved line, great passing game. Eat it, Erin. Sign me up.
7. Justin Jefferson (WR2) – MIN
Cousins is back. Who would have thought Cousins’ praise is possible. Not me. And we have said his name too many times now. But that is the key to being ranked here for me. 167 targets last season and should be close again. He was number 1 in air yards, 3 in target share, and 2 in actual yards. Could easily finish as WR1.
8. Ja’Marr Chase (WR3) – CIN
Drops? We talking about drops? The only ones who dropped the ball were those of you’s that passed on him because of that nonsense. Topic for a different day. He, just like his college teammate Justin Jefferson, had a monster rookie campaign. Chase was 4th in yards, 5th in YAC, and 9th in air yards. His QB would trust him to perform open-heart surgery on him also. Arrow is up.
9. Christian McCaffrey (RB6) – CAR
I battled him here or dead end of round 1. Injuries have derailed his last couple of campaigns. But no arguing when healthy he might be the best fantasy player in the game. His receiving prowess can easily fuel an Ekeler-like season. That is my exact hope also. Weeks 9-11 last year he had 14,26, 24 FP. All with not a single game over 15 carries. Is it worth the risk? Is Sopranos the show ever? Hint….Answer is yes.
10. Travis Kelce – (TE1) – KC
The easy #1 left standing in KC. 135 targets, 971 air yards, and 92 catches. That could possibly go up after the departure of Hill. He’s a stud and is the favorite target for the best QB in football. This pick is easier than pronouncing his last name correctly.
11. Mark Andrews – (TE2) – BAL
Welcome to the big leagues now Mr. Andrews. 154 targets, 1440 air yards, 107 catches. 20 RZ targets. All with a RB throwing him the ball (amirite Bill Polian?) and a backup QB playing 5 games. With Brown in Arizona and Bateman still a bit unproven it should be with ease Andrews repeats.
12. Stefon Diggs – (WR4) – BUF
Now this pick might surprise some. But it’s the spot and I have reasons. A few guys after this pick all have top 12 potential. They just carry some risk. Like fighting by an elevator in Vegas risk. So my game plan here is pairing Diggs with one of those players on my 12/13 turn. Diggs has back-to-back 160 target seasons. He was #2 in air yards last year, 8 in receptions, and #2 in RZ targets. He finished as the #7 WR but easily could see some positive regression and get back into the top 5. If not, he’s a safe floor.
13. Dalvin Cook (RB7) – MIN
Cook is often banged up and took a little step back in production last year. He was still 5th in touches per game and 9th in FPPG. He still the has ability to win you a week alone and the if rumors of pass-game work are true, we are talking big stonks. Like DODGE coin scam stonks. Except fantasy football is real and crypto is just legal money laundering.
14. Alvin Kamara (RB8) – NO
Alvin went out with a bang at the pro bowl. That bang just ended up being in the form of fists in front of an elevator in Vegas. Look we’ve all been there in Vegas. You let the dogs out. You steal Mike Tyson’s tiger and Mr. Chow kidnaps your friend Doug. Just so happens to be the wrong Doug. Vegas is wild. With cameras, these days the saying what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas just isn’t true. So now what we get is another amazing dual-threat back that may end up on the shelf. This spot relies on an unknown suspension. If it’s 4 games I’m good here. 8? He’s moved back a ton. Anything more and I will not draft likely.
15. Aaron Jones (RB9) – GB
When Adams was out Jones was basically a top 5 RB. 23 PPG. He was heavily targeted and just a PPR monster then. Adams took his talents to the desert leaving a huge void in targets. Rodgers might be on a spiritual journey licking toads in the amazon right now, but once the season starts, Jones is gonna eat. A lot.
16. De’Andre Swift (RB10) – DET
As of week 11 last year Swift was RB7. But injury then derailed the season. Swift is a talented back and a full year could pay dividends. Detroit also added some help, which hopefully doesn’t take too many targets away from Swift. However, the hope is this offense is a little better and scores more TDs. Goff is serviceable. In the same sense that Olive Garden is Italian.
17. Davante Adams (WR5) – LV
He chose the desert over enemas with Rodgers. Look, he is not going to see the same amount of targets he did in GB. But he chose his college QB for a reason. And this is also Carr’s best weapon he’s ever had. Waller and Renfrow only help. This offense could be pretty good. Adams is talented and I bank on him still, but at a 2nd round cost.
18. CeeDee Lamb (WR6) – DAL
Ceedees Nuts. Had to say it. We all think it. Deez nuts jokes aside, Ceedee is about to take you to the moon. Let’s leave out his ridiculous numbers with the ball. Like YAC and missed tackles. Dak is going to throw the ball almost 600 times and with no Cooper, Lamb is going to get a huge target share. He is poised to have his career year,
19. Deebo Samuel (WR7) – SF
Again. We wanna use Friday jokes. It’s too easy. But here at Floor Slapper Sports we strive to be different. We strive. Ok you see I’m stalling. That’s because I don’t know about this rank. I love the player but if anyone screams regression it’s a guy who 30% of his production was from rushing and now gets a new QB. But Lance could take this offense further and Samuel will be a big part of it. As a receiver alone he still was top 10. I’m buying it.
20. Mike Evans (WR8) – TB
8 seasons over 1K in a row. Red Zone hog. Tom Brady. I don’t have to use full sentences for him. It’s nice. Next.
21. Javonte Williams (RB11) – DEN
True story. The Russell Wilson to the Bears rumor is the best QB the Bears have ever had. Also true is Williams gets to actually live it. There’s no question he’s the best back on this team. Rumor is Hackett is going to split the load with Gordon though. But what I learned from Hackett is Williams might be Aaron Jones in this offense. So it won’t matter.
22. Nick Chubb (RB12) – CLE
Sometimes some boring is good. The most boring people in your class are probably doing much better than reading a blog about fantasy football. Probably created a microchip for a computer and sold it and now drive a Ferrari. This boring has averaged 5 yards per carry in his career. This boring just doesn’t do a thing in the passing game. But you get a safe floor even if Watson doesn’t play.
23. Tyreek Hill (WR9) – MIA
Going from Mahomes to Tua is like being traded from the Yankees to the Pirates. Like going from Jennifer Lopez to Kathy Bates. So maybe we see a dip in deep balls. But his ADOT dropped off last year also. I’m just sure McDaniel will get him the ball enough to assist you some weeks. He has the big-play ability, he’s just not the same as days past.
24. Keenan Allen (WR10) – LAC
Allen is what he is. He’s top ten in targets, top ten in receptions. 6 TDs is not great but he was 5th in RZ targets last year. Regardless, he’s consistent. And you know what they say. Consistency is the hallmark of the unimaginative. Whether that is good or bad, it’s Keenan Allen…..Oh, and he has my 2022 QB1 throwing him the ball.