Buy Low – Sell High is a weekly installment that will aim to evaluate the performances from the previous week and season at large and identify targets that might have peaked already or are about to peak. Being on the right side of those swings in production is crucial to fantasy football success. I will offer advice on how to maximize the value available to you through name value and recent performance bias.
AJ Dillon, RB – Packers
Aaron Jones hurt his ankle last week. The Packers are also dangerously close to being out of playoff contention. I think these two things might mix together to produce the perfect Dillon concoction here soon. Dillon might already get more involved since Jones isn’t 100% but especially if he re-injures that ankle. Also unless the Packers rip off an insane win streak here I don’t see the organization leaning on Jones in a meaningless season. This is also my last-ditch effort to see a path to fantasy production for AJ Dillon. I think it would be very fitting if Dillon becomes useful towards the end of the season after people have moved on from him in trades or straight dropping him. Seems like the kind of thing this crazy season might have in store for us.
Amon Ra St. Brown, WR – Lions
The Lions are not making the playoffs this year. I wouldn’t say they are a “bad” team but they just don’t have the discipline in the necessary areas yet to make a playoff run. I say all this to explain that low-producing games are to come when you’re tied to such an organization. Amon-Ra also has his early season injury working against him lowering his value, owners were expecting him to get back to form last week and since he didn’t now might be the perfect time to buy. He is THE target for Goff. He loves Amon-Ra and he’s now fully healthy. TJ Hockenson is gone and the WR corp in Detroit isn’t the healthiest so Amon-Ra is about to absorb an insane amount of targets. Take your chance now to buy this second-half league winner.
Gabe Davis, WR – Bills
Two games of down production in a row have made the echoes louder than Gabe Davius is a boom or bust option. I think he will prove to be a WR2 the rest of the way. Davis is the second option in the best offense in football, don’t let people get in your head. This is an easy buy low target for me.
Justin Fields, QB – Bears
So this might be confusing but I’m actually not advocating for selling Justin Fields here, I’m advocating for selling everyone else! If you find yourself with a top-end QB1 and Fields on your team go ahead and trade your other QB. I’m looking at you Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, and Lamar Jackson owners. The value you can get for those players could put you over the top and win you a championship. Josh Allen could get you Tyreek Hill+ whatever your negotiating skills can acquire and you’ll still be getting 20+ with a 50-point ceiling from Fields in your slot. These are the kind of moves that can solidify your roster toward the end of the year. It might be scary putting Allen in an offer but when you can return two elite starters and still get great production from your QB spot you’ll feel great on the way to the championship in your league.
Joe Mixon, RB – Bengals
Mixon is a volume king and just had the best fantasy football game of his season and probably career considering it ranks top ten all time. The Bengals were beating up on an inferior Panthers team and were letting Mixon have his fun. I don’t think the Bengals find themselves in that situation again. It would suit your roster better the rest of the year if you can get an elite WR and a replacement RB2 for him. That 50-point total will look the prettiest it will look this week so take advantage of it. Just like I hope you did with D’Onta Foreman last week. The big boom games give you the biggest spike in value that players will see all season. Take advantage.
Mecole Hardman, WR – Chiefs
I think Hardman is about to disappear completely from fantasy relevance. If he is on your roster he will probably end up being a drop if you don’t take your chance to sell him now. He has a 28-point game and a 19-point game in recent weeks off very few catches and a couple rushing touchdowns. I think Kadarius Toney is about to soak all that up and be a much bigger p[part of the offense than just this gadget role Hardman seems to occupy from time to time. The time is now to flip Hardman.