Week 12 Faves & Fades

Faves and Fades is a weekly installment that focuses on players who you might be deciding between in your flex spot. We won’t be talking about any of the biggest producers here because you are going to start them regardless of the matchup. These players will be low-end WR 2 – Waiver wire range. The flex spot is oftentimes the sweatiest decision and also the X factor that can decide the matchup. This ones for the Gunslingers.

Last Week Recap

Faves

  • Brandon Aiyuk, WR 49ers / 4 Targets 2 receptions 20 yards 2 TDs: 16 PPR Points
  • Terry McLaurin, WR Commanders / 7 targets 4 receptions 55 yards 1 rush 1 yard: 9.6 PPR points
  • David Montgomery, RB Bears / 17 rush 67 yards 1 Td 4 tar 3 rec 54 yards 21.10 PPR 
  • Parris Campbell, WR Colts / 6 tar 5 rec 67 yards 11.7 PPR
  • Darius Slayton, WR Giants / 10 tar 5 rec 86 yards 13.6 PPR

Fades 

  • Brandin Cooks, WR Texans / 6 targets 3 receptions 70 yards: 10 PPR Points
  • Ben Skowronek / Allen Robinson, WR Rams/ 
    • Ben – 4 targets 1 reception 4 yards: 1.4 PPR Points 
    • Allen – 5 targets 4 receptions 47 yards: 14.7 PPR Points
  • Josh Palmer, WR Chargers / 10 tar 8 rec 106 yards 2 TDS 30.6 PPR Points
  • D’Onta Foreman, RB Panthers / 11 rush 24 yards 1 target: 2.4 PPR Points
  • James Connor, RB Cardinals / 14 rush 42 yards 1 TD 5 targets 2 receptions 12 yards: 13.4 PPR Points

What We Learned

Jimmy G tightened that relationship, even more, this week with two more touchdowns to Aiyuk. Aiyuk didn’t do much outside those two TDs but the 49ers didn’t really need him too as they handled their division rivals with ease the whole night. The game script kind of fell out of McLaurin’s favor but he still got 7 targets which led the team and remains Heinicke’s favorite target. David Montgomery did what we all expected and performed well in a full-time role with Herbert. Both Parris Campbell and Darius Slayton benefited once again as their QBs go-to guy. Brandin Cooks showed a little more life but he’s still primarily being used on very short crossing routes, out patterns, and 3-4 yard curls. I feel like they are focused on preserving him for their new QB next year rather than using him to the fullest extent to win games. Ben Skowronek didn’t emerge but Allen Robinson kinda did? His day was mostly saved by the touchdown which admittedly might become more common than not due to the lack of weapons in the Rams offense. Josh Palmer might as well have given me the middle finger but I know I wasn’t the only person who sat him for Kadarius Toney. I could focus on the fact that Mike Williams left early and Allen was supposedly on a snap count to save my ego but Palmer was involved early before Williams left and he’s obviously a good player. It makes one think how scary the Chargers could be if their WRs all get  100% before playoffs. I hope you took your second chance at selling Foreman after his juicy Falcons matchup last week. Sam Darnold is getting his shot at starting again and despite Foreman’s talent, they might not be in the position to give him a lot of volume the rest of the season due to being behind so much. James Connor saved his day with a touchdown as well which he will need to be to make you feel good about starting him cause after another 14 rush 42-yard performance it’s obvious he won’t be lighting it up on the ground. Even his five targets only produced 12 yards indicating more last-read dump-offs than designed passes.

Week 12 Faves

Terrace Marshall, WR – Panthers vs Broncos

After seeing his role transform into the full-time WR 2 in Carolina, Terrace Marshall has been showing what made him such an intriguing prospect not too long ago. He can make the tough catches and honestly reminds me a lot of George Pickens but just on a worse team. The Panthers are one of the worst teams in the league this season and they are in full evaluation mode about how they want to move forward after trading superstar running back Christian McCaffrey earlier in the season. Marshall’s newfound involvement in the offense indicates they want to see what they have in him and with DJ Moore likely drawing Patrick Surtain we might see Marshall get a lot of targets this week. Say what you want about Sam Darnold but he wants to stay in the NFL and I imagine in true Sam Darnold fashion, he will be willing to air it out to prove he belongs. Marshall might be in the perfect spot to capitalize on that.

Tom Brady, QB – Buccaneers vs Browns

Despite a terrible start to the season, the Buccaneers find themselves ahead of their division with only themselves to blame if they lose it. I truly felt like you could see Tom Brady’s helplessness in some of the games earlier in the season. Specifically the game against the Saints. It was something I had never seen while watching Tom play before and indicated that inevitable decline we all have been waiting for… but all that shit is gone now. His throws are looking crisp and he’s just got a huge boost from his new exciting running back whom we are about to get to next. He is surrounded by talented weapons and the fire has been re-lit in one of the greatest competitors of all time. Every game is win-now mode for the GOAT and I expect him to eat. Feel confident streaming Brady this week and know you may have found your QB that you will ride to a championship 

Rachaad White, RB – Buccaneers vs Browns

Rachaad White looked great with the opportunity he was given in his last game. He had quite the workload with 22 rushes which turned into 105 yards on the ground. Surprisingly no receptions but with his skill set that will change. Sometimes it can take a while for roles to change from one running back to the other but I think Brady will be urging the offense to use its best weapons regardless of supposed placement on the depth chart. Fournette will still have a role but I think his struggles have already put him behind a blossoming Rachaad White starting this week. 

Michael Carter, RB – Jets vs Bears

Although Justin Fields has been lighting the world on fire recently the Bears defense leaves a lot to be desired. They ended up in shootouts with Detroit and Atlanta the last two weeks and lost.. ? Fantasy excellence aside the Bears are still a struggling team. The Jets have an amazing defense and could stop this fairy tale of an explosive offense the Bears have been showcasing recently. I think Carter finds himself heavily involved in any game script here and with the recent passing offense woes he might be even more involved. The Bears are 4th in fantasy points allowed to running backs this season and are one of only five teams in the NFL that are on average giving up over 1 rushing touchdown per game. The Patriots defense has a habit of making people look bad so wipe last week from your mind and start Carter your gonna be upset if you leave him on your bench this week. 

David Njoku, TE – Browns vs Buccaneers

I know he was back on the field last week but it was too early to trust production from Njoku again. They clearly love the tight end position in that offense evidenced by Harrison Bryant’s target share but I think this is the week Njoku returns to top 5 TE status. You already know my thoughts on Brady this week so I think the Browns might find themselves in a shootout greatly increasing Njoku’s chances of having a huge week. If you had to find another option while Njoku was gone and you’re trying to decide who to go with, stop. Njoku is a must-start for the rest of the season as long as he is healthy. Reward yourself for hanging on to him or scooping him up off the wire and play him this week confidently.

Kyren Williams, RB – Rams vs Chiefs

In a rather confusing move, the Rams have waived Darrell Henderson. This leaves them with promising rookie Kyren Williams and Cam Akers who didn’t even want to play for the Rams anymore a couple of weeks ago. The Rams are obviously planning on involving Kyren Williams more because they like what they have seen. At the least, it’s a committee between Williams and Akers but at the most, it’s a full-time role so they can truly see what they have in their young guy to inform them on draft and free agency decisions. The Chiefs are most likely going to get out to a big lead so Kyren Williams’ potential to catch 5+ balls is also very high. You could do worse than him in your flex and I think he has a very real potential to have a full role and boom considering the Rams most recent moves. 

Week 12 Fades

Jamaal Williams, RB – Lions vs Bills

Jamaal Williams leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns with 12 on the year and has five games with multiple touchdowns on the year. You are a very happy owner if you drafted Williams and he has probably become a lineup lock for you. I want to be the one to warn you about this week. Although the Bills don’t have a dominant run defense statistically they are perhaps the best team in the NFL and have lost 2 of the last three games after stopping their losing streak last week with a win against the Browns. They are a championship team looking to go into Detroit and handle business and get that momentum back going toward the playoffs. They know not to underestimate a fiery Lions team and will not be caught off guard. Swift will be getting more involved and Jameson Williams might join the fray as well. This game might be close cause the Lions have been doing great at competing with opponents no matter the caliber but I think this game looks more like his disappointing performances against New England and Dallas earlier in the year,

Leonard Fournette, RB – Buccaneers vrs Browns

Of course, if I’m high on Rachaad white ill be fading Fournette. I think Fournette was essential to Brady’s success last year so he cared about getting him involved and managing him mentally. With the emergence of Rachaad White and Fournette’s recent struggles and complaints about his role, we might see Fournette move to a more situational role. He also is now dealing with injury and was reportedly not able to handle a full workload due to his condition so I think the writing is on the wall here for White to take over a larger percentage of the workload here. 

Cordarrelle Patterson, RB – Falcons vs Commanders

Washington allows the 7th least fantasy points to running backs and just bottled up a seemingly matchup-proof Dameon Pierce. Atlanta is committed to the run this season they have three running backs getting touches regularly. Patterson has looked the most explosive with the ball in his hands but he isn’t guaranteed enough touches for me to want to start him. He only rushed the ball 10 times last week and was given two targets. Although the Commanders have given up 6 TDs through the air to running backs this year, his two targets last week were the most he’s had in a game since week 2. He is not involved in the passing game and is a part of a three-man committee. This could be a very quiet week for Patterson

Christian Watson, WR – Packers vs Eagles

Christian Watson has been the most exciting thing about the Packers offense all year and he’s only been featured in the offense the past two weeks. Watson has become a go-to man for Aaron Rodgers when it comes to getting a touchdown but he doesn’t get alot of looks outside those red zone plays or deep shots. While that is a recipe for success and has certainly been so the past two weeks the Eagles are one of the league’s elite teams and have an elite corner to keep an eye on Watson all game. Cobb has found his way back to the dependable slot role and the Eagles have shown they are weak against the run which could bode well for Aaron Jones and … the other guy… (Let me throw up real quick) … AJ Dillon as well. If you have another option then look at it because I would temper the expectations on Watson this week.

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